With this in mind, a 50 percent ensemble Actor Award success rate at the Oscars means that Sinners has a solid shot at a Best Picture win, but it's not a complete lock. Based on its other awards season wins, One Battle After Another still seems to have the edge, especially when it comes to the PGA Awards. Out of the PGA's past 36 winners, 26 have gone on to win Best Picture at the Oscars, a higher success rate than the Actor Awards.
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But as application deadlines loomed, doubt crept in. What was so great about spending four years in classrooms, taking on tens of thousands of dollars in debt, and still facing no guarantee of a solid living?